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Modern Trade back for Growth for 2nd quarter of 2016



Modern Trade back for Growth for 2nd quarter of 2016

Modern Trade back for Growth for 2nd quarter of 2016

Kantar Worldpanel, the global market leader in consumer panels, reports the spending in fast moving consumer goods (FMCG) in 2nd quarter of 2016 grew by 4.6% year on year, faster than the 2.0% growth rate reported in 1st quarter of 2016.

Modern trade (including hypermarkets, supermarkets, and convenience stores) showed a similar trend of improving growth, 1.4% positive growth in the second quarter in comparison to a decline of -0.5% in the 1st quarter. Modern trade’s growth was most prominent in county level cities and their surrounding urbanised counties - growth rates of 2.0% and 3.9% respectively. From a regional perspective, modern trade in the East and West performed much better than South and North regions. The East region grew at 2.8% - helped by strong performance of Sun-Art Group and Wal-Mart Group - while the West region grew at 3.6% driven by Wal-Mart Group and Yonghui Group.

International retailers suffer from continuous share drop
Wal-Mart Group has seen relatively stable performance in 2016, gaining 0.3 share points year on year in the latest quarter. Other international retailers such as Carrefour, Tesco and Lotus suffered from continued share erosion resulting in the overall poor performance of international retailers. Sun-Art Group and Yonghui lead the growth of Chinese players. Sun-Art group managed to grow its shopper base through both the continued development of existing stores and incremental opening of new one. Their growth was most marked in the competitive East region market; share increased from 13.5% of 2nd quarter of 2015 to 16.0% in the latest quarter - widening their leadership over competitors.

Yonghui consolidates position as a top 5 national retailer: Yonghui continues to perform well in 2016, a fast pace of growth in penetration and basket size enabling its share to continue to exceed Lianhua Groups in Q2 after first overtaking it in Q1. Despite this strong performance – Yonghui still faces challenges in the East region. Strong growth of Sun-Art Group and Wal-Mart’s gradually recovery have meant that Yonghui’s acquisition of Lianhua has yet to see any sustained effects.

Brick and Mortar and eCommerce retailers looking for cooperation: Continuous FMCG slow down combined with the impact from eCommerce growth in China, has pressured physical retailers into finding new solutions to drive growth. Kantar Worldpanel latest data show, 52 week end June.17th, show total FMCG eCommerce penetration% reached 49%, growing 10% from last year. The growth of online is leading by Tmall and JD, both with spend growth rate over 80%. While continuing to experiment with their own e-tailing platforms; the major retail chains are now seeking to bolster performance through strategic partnerships with existing digital players. Wal-Mart’s corporation with enables wal-mart to reach new online shoppers while allowing to utilise YHD’s broad footprint in East region. Vanguard’s strategic investment in the XinMeiDa (previously Meituan & Dianping) and Feiniu’s corporation with Shihui, both show brick-and-mortar chains’ new efforts to better realize their O2O strategy.

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Jason Yu
General Manager in China


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