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Familiar trends bring new records

29/07/2014

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The latest grocery share figures from Kantar Worldpanel, published today for the 12 weeks ending 20 July 2014, show familiar trends of market polarisation bringing new records for Aldi and Lidl.

Grocery price inflation has fallen for the tenth successive period and now stands at 0.4%. Competitive pricing among the big grocers and deflation in the price of staple items such as vegetables, milk and bread has driven inflation to the lowest level since October 2006 when Kantar Worldpanel began this measure. As a result, market growth has fallen to 0.9% – the lowest figure for 10 years.

Edward Garner, director at Kantar Worldpanel explains: “Aldi’s 32% growth rate has lifted its market share to 4.8%; this is a new record for the retailer and means it has nearly caught up with Waitrose on 4.9%. Similarly, Lidl sales have grown by nearly 20% which means it now accounts for a record 3.6% of the grocery market.

“Waitrose has continued to resist pressure from the competition and has grown sales by 3.4%. This figure is well above the market average and thereby has lifted its market share.”

Among the big four grocers, both Asda and Sainsbury’s have held onto their market shares of 17.0% and 16.6% respectively. Conversely, Tesco and Morrisons have recorded losses with sales for both outlets declining by 3.8% compared with this time last year.

Iceland has posted a small drop in sales, its first since 2005, but has retained its 2.0% share.

An update on inflation

Grocery inflation has seen its tenth successive fall and now stands at 0.4%* for the 12 week period ending 20 July 2014. This is the lowest level since we began recording GPI in October 2006 and reflects the impact of Aldi and Lidl and the market’s competitive response, as well as deflation in some major categories including vegetables, bread and milk.

The figures referenced in this news story relate to data as published at the time. Kantar Worldpanel data is periodically reworked to reflect improved methodology. This may result in some minor restatement of historical grocer shares.

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Fraser McKevitt

Head of Retail and Consumer Insight

 

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